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SoBrief
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Everything Is Predictable
by Tom Chivers • 2024
The math behind your spam filter also reveals that your brain is hallucinating reality.
4.02
1k+
Everything Is Predictable Summary
Everything Is Predictable 96%
The math behind your spam filter also reveals that your brain is hallucinating reality.
by Tom Chivers 2024
4.02
1k+ ratings
The Great Mental Models Volume 3
by Rhiannon Beaubien • 2021
The world runs on feedback loops and bottlenecks you never see. The models that expose them.
4.25
832
The Great Mental Models Volume 3 Summary
The Great Mental Models Volume 3 96%
The world runs on feedback loops and bottlenecks you never see. The models that expose them.
by Rhiannon Beaubien 2021
4.25
832 ratings
Algorithms to Live By
by Brian Christian • 2016
When to settle, when to quit, when to trust chance: computer science already found the answers.
4.12
35k+
Algorithms to Live By Summary
Algorithms to Live By 96%
When to settle, when to quit, when to trust chance: computer science already found the answers.
by Brian Christian 2016
4.12
35k+ ratings
Third Millennium Thinking
by Saul Perlmutter • 2024
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
3.66
339
Third Millennium Thinking Summary
Third Millennium Thinking 96%
Probability over certainty, groups over lone genius: a Nobel physicist's toolkit for clear thinking.
by Saul Perlmutter 2024
3.66
339 ratings
Maxims for Thinking Analytically
by Dan Levy • 2021
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
3.92
583
Maxims for Thinking Analytically Summary
Maxims for Thinking Analytically 96%
Extreme cases and simple division: Harvard legend's toolkit for sharper thinking amid uncertainty.
by Dan Levy 2021
3.92
583 ratings
The Great Mental Models, Volume 3
by Shane Parrish • 2024
Why extra effort eventually backfires, luck isn't random, and one weak link can undo everything.
4.26
195
The Great Mental Models, Volume 3 Summary
The Great Mental Models, Volume 3 96%
Why extra effort eventually backfires, luck isn't random, and one weak link can undo everything.
by Shane Parrish 2024
4.26
195 ratings
Thinking and Deciding
by Jonathan Baron • 2007
A psychologist's guide to mental shortcuts that fail, and the rules that repair them.
4.06
320
Thinking and Deciding Summary
Thinking and Deciding 96%
A psychologist's guide to mental shortcuts that fail, and the rules that repair them.
by Jonathan Baron 2007
4.06
320 ratings
Mental Models
by Peter Hollins • 2019
Mental models to decide faster, regret less, and stop mistaking urgency for importance.
3.97
956
Mental Models Summary
Mental Models 95%
Mental models to decide faster, regret less, and stop mistaking urgency for importance.
by Peter Hollins 2019
3.97
956 ratings
Thinking Better
by Marcus du Sautoy • 2021
Mathematical shortcuts that save time, solve problems, and show you what everyone else overlooks.
3.59
618
Thinking Better Summary
Thinking Better 95%
Mathematical shortcuts that save time, solve problems, and show you what everyone else overlooks.
by Marcus du Sautoy 2021
3.59
618 ratings
The Art of Thinking In Systems
by Steven Schuster • 2018
Why your fixes backfire: the feedback loops, delays, and blind spots hiding in plain sight.
3.16
641
The Art of Thinking In Systems Summary
The Art of Thinking In Systems 95%
Why your fixes backfire: the feedback loops, delays, and blind spots hiding in plain sight.
by Steven Schuster 2018
3.16
641 ratings
How Not to Be Wrong
by Jordan Ellenberg • 2014
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
3.95
22k+
How Not to Be Wrong Summary
How Not to Be Wrong 95%
Your brain defaults to straight lines. Math reveals the curves that keep you from being wrong.
by Jordan Ellenberg 2014
3.95
22k+ ratings
100 mental models
by Wisdom Theory
Why a hundred borrowed concepts from physics, economics, and psychology beat expertise alone.
4.00
105
100 mental models Summary
100 mental models 95%
Why a hundred borrowed concepts from physics, economics, and psychology beat expertise alone.
by Wisdom Theory
4.00
105 ratings
Framers
by Kenneth Cukier • 2021
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
3.53
568
Framers Summary
Framers 95%
AI can't ask 'what if.' That single gap explains why humans remain irreplaceable.
by Kenneth Cukier 2021
3.53
568 ratings
The Great Mental Models Volume 2
by Shane Parrish • 2019
The best mental tools come from physics, chemistry, and biology, not business books.
4.16
2k+
The Great Mental Models Volume 2 Summary
The Great Mental Models Volume 2 95%
The best mental tools come from physics, chemistry, and biology, not business books.
by Shane Parrish 2019
4.16
2k+ ratings
How to Expect the Unexpected
by Kit Yates • 2023
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
3.69
188
How to Expect the Unexpected Summary
How to Expect the Unexpected 95%
Master the science of prediction: why your gut fails, and when the smartest forecast is none.
by Kit Yates 2023
3.69
188 ratings
The Model Thinker
by Scott E. Page • 2018
Big data without many models is just noise. The case for thinking through multiple frameworks.
3.92
955
The Model Thinker Summary
The Model Thinker 95%
Big data without many models is just noise. The case for thinking through multiple frameworks.
by Scott E. Page 2018
3.92
955 ratings
The Organized Mind
by Daniel J. Levitin • 2014
Attention bandwidth: 120 bits per second. Two conversations fill it. Defend the rest.
3.65
15k+
The Organized Mind Summary
The Organized Mind 95%
Attention bandwidth: 120 bits per second. Two conversations fill it. Defend the rest.
by Daniel J. Levitin 2014
3.65
15k+ ratings
Chancing It
by Robert Matthews • 2017
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
3.81
227
Chancing It Summary
Chancing It 95%
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
by Robert Matthews 2017
3.81
227 ratings
Six Frames
by Edward de Bono • 2008
You are drowning in information. Six attention shifts that turn the flood into something useful.
3.09
254
Six Frames Summary
Six Frames 95%
You are drowning in information. Six attention shifts that turn the flood into something useful.
by Edward de Bono 2008
3.09
254 ratings
Risk Savvy
by Gerd Gigerenzer • 2013
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
4.01
2k+
Risk Savvy Summary
Risk Savvy 95%
Most real life is uncertainty, not risk. Simple decision rules beat complex models there.
by Gerd Gigerenzer 2013
4.01
2k+ ratings
Rationality
by Steven Pinker • 2021
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
3.84
7k+
Rationality Summary
Rationality 95%
How a single mental toolkit built science, law, and democracy, and why it keeps short-circuiting.
by Steven Pinker 2021
3.84
7k+ ratings
Mind Performance Hacks
by Ron Hale-Evans • 2006
Memory tricks, mental math, decision hacks: a cognitive toolkit for thinking faster and clearer.
3.88
945
Mind Performance Hacks Summary
Mind Performance Hacks 94%
Memory tricks, mental math, decision hacks: a cognitive toolkit for thinking faster and clearer.
by Ron Hale-Evans 2006
3.88
945 ratings
Critical Thinking In A Nutshell
by Thinknetic • 2021
Two classic frameworks turn fuzzy reasoning into a trainable skill; daily exercises lock it in.
3.64
148
Critical Thinking In A Nutshell Summary
Critical Thinking In A Nutshell 94%
Two classic frameworks turn fuzzy reasoning into a trainable skill; daily exercises lock it in.
by Thinknetic 2021
3.64
148 ratings
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 94%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
On the Edge
by Nate Silver • 2024
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
3.66
6k+
On the Edge Summary
On the Edge 94%
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
by Nate Silver 2024
3.66
6k+ ratings
Know Thyself
by Stephen M. Fleming • 2021
Your brain constantly tracks its own uncertainty. That system breaks in predictable ways.
3.86
357
Know Thyself Summary
Know Thyself 94%
Your brain constantly tracks its own uncertainty. That system breaks in predictable ways.
by Stephen M. Fleming 2021
3.86
357 ratings
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking
by Harvard Business Review • 2023
Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.
3.92
198
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking Summary
HBR Guide to Critical Thinking 94%
Why assumptions trap you, and how to escape before you decide: HBR guide to clearer thinking.
by Harvard Business Review 2023
3.92
198 ratings
Fooled by Randomness
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2001
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
4.08
72k+
Fooled by Randomness Summary
Fooled by Randomness 94%
Ten thousand coin-flippers produce three hundred geniuses. The biographies write themselves.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2001
4.08
72k+ ratings
Robin Hood Math
by Noah Giansiracusa • 2025
Algorithms price your insurance, rank your resume, curate your reality. The math that fights back.
3.91
185
Robin Hood Math Summary
Robin Hood Math 94%
Algorithms price your insurance, rank your resume, curate your reality. The math that fights back.
by Noah Giansiracusa 2025
3.91
185 ratings
The Great Mental Models
by Shane Parrish • 2018
Nine thinking tools from philosophy, physics, and biology that upgrade every decision you make.
4.07
11k+
The Great Mental Models Summary
The Great Mental Models 94%
Nine thinking tools from philosophy, physics, and biology that upgrade every decision you make.
by Shane Parrish 2018
4.07
11k+ ratings
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
by Richards J. Heuer Jr. • 2005
CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.
4.27
1k+
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis Summary
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis 94%
CIA's textbook for outthinking your own limits: structured methods that catch what intuition misses.
by Richards J. Heuer Jr. 2005
4.27
1k+ ratings
The Great Mental Models, Volume 4
by Shane Parrish • 2024
Economics shows you the trade-off. Art shows you the story. Together they retrain what you notice.
3.92
298
The Great Mental Models, Volume 4 Summary
The Great Mental Models, Volume 4 94%
Economics shows you the trade-off. Art shows you the story. Together they retrain what you notice.
by Shane Parrish 2024
3.92
298 ratings
How to Actually Change Your Mind
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2018
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
4.28
294
How to Actually Change Your Mind Summary
How to Actually Change Your Mind 94%
Humble confession changes nothing. The specific moves that actually correct your thinking.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2018
4.28
294 ratings
Uncharted
by Margaret Heffernan • 2020
Why the best leaders swap predictions for experiments, scenarios, and collective preparation.
3.64
458
Uncharted Summary
Uncharted 94%
Why the best leaders swap predictions for experiments, scenarios, and collective preparation.
by Margaret Heffernan 2020
3.64
458 ratings
Superforecasting
by Philip E. Tetlock • 2015
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
4.08
22k+
Superforecasting Summary
Superforecasting 94%
30% more accurate than CIA analysts: the trainable habits that predict the future.
by Philip E. Tetlock 2015
4.08
22k+ ratings
The Little Black Book of Decision Making
by Michael Nicholas • 2017
Stress hijacks your best thinking. Here is how to rewire attention and make smarter decisions.
3.77
126
The Little Black Book of Decision Making Summary
The Little Black Book of Decision Making 94%
Stress hijacks your best thinking. Here is how to rewire attention and make smarter decisions.
by Michael Nicholas 2017
3.77
126 ratings
Mindware
by Richard E. Nisbett • 2015
You don't perceive reality. You construct it, using mental shortcuts you never knew you had.
3.75
2k+
Mindware Summary
Mindware 94%
You don't perceive reality. You construct it, using mental shortcuts you never knew you had.
by Richard E. Nisbett 2015
3.75
2k+ ratings
The Art of Doing Science and Engineering
by Richard W. Hamming • 1996
What separates great scientists from good ones: they pick better problems.
4.18
2k+
The Art of Doing Science and Engineering Summary
The Art of Doing Science and Engineering 94%
What separates great scientists from good ones: they pick better problems.
by Richard W. Hamming 1996
4.18
2k+ ratings
The Math of Life and Death
by Kit Yates • 2019
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
3.90
2k+
The Math of Life and Death Summary
The Math of Life and Death 94%
Key mathematical ideas govern medicine, law, and media, and your intuition gets each one wrong.
by Kit Yates 2019
3.90
2k+ ratings
Subtract
by Leidy Klotz • 2021
We add to fix things; subtraction works better. The cognitive bias that hides the shorter path.
3.40
2k+
Subtract Summary
Subtract 94%
We add to fix things; subtraction works better. The cognitive bias that hides the shorter path.
by Leidy Klotz 2021
3.40
2k+ ratings
Decisive
by Chip Heath • 2013
Decisions fail in four predictable ways. A process fixes them, starting with one question.
3.96
18k+
Decisive Summary
Decisive 94%
Decisions fail in four predictable ways. A process fixes them, starting with one question.
by Chip Heath 2013
3.96
18k+ ratings
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age
by David J. Helfand • 2016
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
3.71
220
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age Summary
A Survival Guide to the Misinformation Age 94%
Mental tools from science that let you gut-check any claim yourself, no search engine required.
by David J. Helfand 2016
3.71
220 ratings
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 94%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
Winning Long-Term Games
by Luca Dellanna • 2024
Stop optimizing for speed. Build assets, make many bets, and design a life that cannot lose.
4.17
81
Winning Long-Term Games Summary
Winning Long-Term Games 94%
Stop optimizing for speed. Build assets, make many bets, and design a life that cannot lose.
by Luca Dellanna 2024
4.17
81 ratings
Models of My Life
by Herbert A. Simon • 1991
He taught computers to think, then used them to reveal how human minds actually work.
3.77
437
Models of My Life Summary
Models of My Life 94%
He taught computers to think, then used them to reveal how human minds actually work.
by Herbert A. Simon 1991
3.77
437 ratings
The Yellow Pad
by Robert E. Rubin • 2023
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
3.70
268
The Yellow Pad Summary
The Yellow Pad 94%
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
by Robert E. Rubin 2023
3.70
268 ratings
A Few Lessons from Sherlock Holmes
by Peter Bevelin • 2013
The observation and reasoning tools Holmes used to solve impossible crimes, for everyday thinking.
3.63
541
A Few Lessons from Sherlock Holmes Summary
A Few Lessons from Sherlock Holmes 94%
The observation and reasoning tools Holmes used to solve impossible crimes, for everyday thinking.
by Peter Bevelin 2013
3.63
541 ratings
Pragmatic Thinking and Learning
by Andy Hunt • 2008
Your brain runs two processors. The intuitive one does the real work. Wake it up.
4.12
4k+
Pragmatic Thinking and Learning Summary
Pragmatic Thinking and Learning 94%
Your brain runs two processors. The intuitive one does the real work. Wake it up.
by Andy Hunt 2008
4.12
4k+ ratings
How to Make the World Add Up
by Tim Harford • 2020
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
4.12
8k+
How to Make the World Add Up Summary
How to Make the World Add Up 94%
Bad statistics weaponize your feelings. Ten rules for seeing what the numbers actually say.
by Tim Harford 2020
4.12
8k+ ratings
Irrationality
by Stuart Sutherland • 1992
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
3.91
2k+
Irrationality Summary
Irrationality 94%
Predictable mental errors everyone makes, from overconfidence to throwing good money after bad.
by Stuart Sutherland 1992
3.91
2k+ ratings
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